JP Morgan has always been considered as the
strongest and most solid bank in the US financial market. However, recently, it
suffered a loss of more than 2 billion dollars in 6 weeks in the “London Whale”
case.
Last year in September, the same case
happened in Swiss Bank, causing a loss of 2 billion dollars. After only half of
a year, JP Morgan trod the heel.
The primary reason for the great loss may
lie on the mistakes of the traders since these banks highly rely on the ability
of the traders. Nevertheless, the banks should also be responsible for the case
as they lack the general management of their traders.
First, the stock price of JP Morgan fells
sharply. Just two days after the loss, the stock price dropped by 12% and the
market share declined by 1.88 billion US dollars. After then, it encumbered the
Dow Jones Index by 25 last Friday. Other banks, including Morgan Stanley,
Goldman and Citi, also dropped by more than 3%. The decrease of the financial
sector may be due to the fear of stricter regulatory policy carried out by the
government.
Second, the loss may strongly affect the
financial market, even lead to another crisis. Fitch has already downgraded the
rate of JP Morgan from AA- to A+. If the case were not getting better, it could
lead to a very serious situation. Under the background of economic crisis, the
US still needs five to ten years to recover. The great loss blocks the recovery
process. To solve this problem, the US government may strict tighten the
regulatory policy on financial market to lower the risk.
Third, the case will also endanger the
Obama’s election. Obama has already urged the government to tighten the
regulatory policy on financial market. However, if the case were not dealt with
properly, Obama might lose the favor with the voters. Remember that four years
ago, it was Obama who took advantage of the subprime fallout to lead the voters
against the Republicans. Obama would definitely not want the same history
happening again on himself.